Sunday, April 02, 2006
I need some advice.
There's a mantra around bloggerville that "sets are gold." I tend to agree. A well-concealed set usually pays off big.
But how do you defend against them? Is there any way to see them coming? (It's obviously difficult, which is why sets are gold!)
This is how most of my losses to sets go.
I flop TPTK and bet or raise. I get called. Normally, at that point I'm putting my opponent on TP-weaker kicker. On the turn, I bet out. I either get called, or popped back with a raise. (Sometimes my opponent waits till the river to pop back). If the card that came inducing the raise doesn't coordinate the board or match up with typical hole card holdings for a 2 pair, I still think I'm good. At showdown, I'm no good, falling victim to a set made from a low to mid pocket pair.
Of course, there is a ton of information that goes into each street's decision, including any notes I might have on the player, stack sizes relative to the blinds, etc. I can usually smell a trap pretty well, but there are so many players that overplay their top pair, weak kicker that generally, it pays to grit your teeth and push forward. On the other hand, I can be accused of overplaying TPTK in these cases.
How do you tell when you're up against a set? Is there anything that tips you off?